Official lineups
Tampa Bay RaysAway
4.2
proj 4.2
54%
Cleveland GuardiansHome
3.6
proj 3.6
46%
7.8Total54%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
DAILY SUMMARY · SATURDAY
October 17, 2026
Today's simulated matchups, live scoreboards, Monte Carlo distributions, and portfolio-approved wagers.
1Games
10,000Sims / game
0Qualified bets
0.00uKelly exposure
MATCHUPS
Today's games
PORTFOLIO
Recommended wagers
No qualified wagersNo current price clears the portfolio selection and sizing gates.
MONTE CARLO DFS · DRAFTKINGS MLB
DraftKings Simulated Fantasy Points
20Players Projected
20Official Lineups
Nick Martinez (14.9)Top 50th %ile (Median)
Nick Martinez (31.9)Highest Sim Ceiling (MAX)
Nick Martinez ($10,400)Top Salary (3 Slates)
Patrick Bailey (24.9%)Top Sim Optimal %
Showing 20 of 20 players
💡 Select a slate above to filter players and show contest salaries · Click any player row to view points histogram
Optimal Showdown Lineups (Monte Carlo Global Optimum)
Exact integer-optimal DFS lineups computed across all 10,000 game simulation paths
👑 [Featured] Showdown(TB @ CLE)
·
9,196 distinct winning lineups across 10,000 simulations
Showing Top 12 Winning Lineups
#1 Optimal Lineup
$49,800 / $50k
·
CLE 3 · Tampa Bay Rays 3
8 / 10,000 sims (0.08%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Drew Rasmussen
SP · CLE
$11,800
UTIL
Richie Palacios
2B · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,000
UTIL
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$10,200
UTIL
Tyler Wells
SP · Tampa Bay Rays
$10,000
UTIL
Victor Mesa Jr.
OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$6,800
#2 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
CLE 4 · Tampa Bay Rays 1 · Cleveland Guardians 1
7 / 10,000 sims (0.07%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Cedric Mullins
OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,600
UTIL
Foster Griffin
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Freddy Peralta
SP · CLE
$11,000
UTIL
Nathaniel Lowe
1B · Cleveland Guardians
$5,200
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · CLE
$11,600
#3 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
CLE 3 · Tampa Bay Rays 2 · Cleveland Guardians 1
7 / 10,000 sims (0.07%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Drew Rasmussen
SP · CLE
$11,800
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · CLE
$11,600
UTIL
Patrick Bailey
C · Cleveland Guardians
$3,800
UTIL
Tyler Wells
SP · Tampa Bay Rays
$10,000
UTIL
Victor Mesa Jr.
OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$6,800
#4 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
CLE 3 · Tampa Bay Rays 3
6 / 10,000 sims (0.06%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Cedric Mullins
OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,600
UTIL
Drew Rasmussen
SP · CLE
$11,800
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · CLE
$11,600
UTIL
Richie Palacios
2B · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,000
UTIL
Tyler Wells
SP · Tampa Bay Rays
$10,000
#5 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
CLE 3 · Cleveland Guardians 2 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
6 / 10,000 sims (0.06%)
CPT 1.5×
Tyler Wells
SP · Tampa Bay Rays
$15,000
UTIL
Drew Rasmussen
SP · CLE
$11,800
UTIL
Nathaniel Lowe
1B · Cleveland Guardians
$5,200
UTIL
Patrick Bailey
C · Cleveland Guardians
$3,800
UTIL
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$10,200
UTIL
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$4,000
#6 Optimal Lineup
$49,800 / $50k
·
CLE 4 · Cleveland Guardians 1 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
5 / 10,000 sims (0.05%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Drew Rasmussen
SP · CLE
$11,800
UTIL
Nathaniel Lowe
1B · Cleveland Guardians
$5,200
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · CLE
$11,600
UTIL
Richie Palacios
2B · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,000
UTIL
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$10,200
#7 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
CLE 4 · Cleveland Guardians 1 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
5 / 10,000 sims (0.05%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Nathaniel Lowe
1B · Cleveland Guardians
$5,200
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · CLE
$11,600
UTIL
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$10,200
UTIL
Tanner Bibee
SP · CLE
$10,200
UTIL
Victor Mesa Jr.
OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$6,800
#8 Optimal Lineup
$49,900 / $50k
·
CLE 2 · Cleveland Guardians 2 · Tampa Bay Rays 2
5 / 10,000 sims (0.05%)
CPT 1.5×
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$15,300
UTIL
Jo Adell
OF · Cleveland Guardians
$8,600
UTIL
Jonathan Aranda
1B · Tampa Bay Rays
$8,200
UTIL
Patrick Bailey
C · Cleveland Guardians
$3,800
UTIL
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$4,000
UTIL
Tyler Wells
SP · Tampa Bay Rays
$10,000
#9 Optimal Lineup
$49,800 / $50k
·
CLE 4 · Cleveland Guardians 1 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
5 / 10,000 sims (0.05%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Brayan Rocchio
SS · Cleveland Guardians
$5,800
UTIL
Cedric Mullins
OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,600
UTIL
Foster Griffin
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · CLE
$11,600
UTIL
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$10,200
#10 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
CLE 4 · Cleveland Guardians 1 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
5 / 10,000 sims (0.05%)
CPT 1.5×
Nathaniel Lowe
1B · Cleveland Guardians
$7,800
UTIL
Cedric Mullins
OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,600
UTIL
Drew Rasmussen
SP · CLE
$11,800
UTIL
Foster Griffin
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$10,200
UTIL
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$4,000
#11 Optimal Lineup
$49,600 / $50k
·
CLE 4 · Cleveland Guardians 1 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
5 / 10,000 sims (0.05%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Drew Rasmussen
SP · CLE
$11,800
UTIL
Foster Griffin
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Freddy Peralta
SP · CLE
$11,000
UTIL
Nathaniel Lowe
1B · Cleveland Guardians
$5,200
UTIL
Richie Palacios
2B · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,000
#12 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
CLE 4 · Tampa Bay Rays 1 · Cleveland Guardians 1
4 / 10,000 sims (0.04%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Cedric Mullins
OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,600
UTIL
Foster Griffin
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Freddy Peralta
SP · CLE
$11,000
UTIL
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$10,200
UTIL
Steven Kwan
OF · Cleveland Guardians
$6,600
| Status | Player | Pos | Salary | Opt % | CPT % | Game | 10th | 25th | 50th ▼ | 75th | 90th | MAX |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official | Nick Martinez Tampa Bay Rays📊 | SP | $10,400 | 0.8% | — | TB @ CLE | 6.4 | 10.4 | 14.9 | 19.9 | 24.4 | 31.9 |
| Official | Shawn Armstrong Cleveland Guardians📊 | SP | $4,000 | 3.5% | 0.1% | TB @ CLE | -0.7 | 3.3 | 7.8 | 12.8 | 17.3 | 24.8 |
| Official | Yandy Díaz Tampa Bay Rays📊 | DH | — | — | — | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.3 | 12.5 | 19.4 | 31.0 |
| Official | Junior Caminero Tampa Bay Rays📊 | 3B | $10,000 | 13.3% | 2.3% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.3 | 12.5 | 19.4 | 31.0 |
| Official | José Ramírez Cleveland Guardians📊 | 3B | — | — | — | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.8 | 6.9 | 11.8 | 18.3 | 29.3 |
| Official | Jo Adell Cleveland Guardians📊 | DH | $8,600 | 15.0% | 2.3% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.7 | 6.6 | 11.3 | 17.5 | 28.0 |
| Official | Victor Mesa Jr. Tampa Bay Rays📊 | OF | $6,800 | 23.9% | 4.8% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 11.1 | 17.2 | 27.5 |
| Official | Chase DeLauter Cleveland Guardians📊 | OF | $8,000 | 16.5% | 2.4% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 11.0 | 17.1 | 27.4 |
| Official | Jonathan Aranda Tampa Bay Rays📊 | 1B | $8,200 | 13.9% | 2.0% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.1 | 10.5 | 16.2 | 26.0 |
| Official | Jonny DeLuca Tampa Bay Rays📊 | OF | $6,000 | — | — | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 10.0 | 15.5 | 24.7 |
| Official | Travis Bazzana Cleveland Guardians📊 | 2B | $7,600 | 11.3% | 1.5% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 9.4 | 14.6 | 23.3 |
| Official | Richie Palacios Tampa Bay Rays📊 | 2B | $5,000 | 22.0% | 3.6% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 9.2 | 14.3 | 22.9 |
| Official | Nathaniel Lowe Cleveland Guardians📊 | 1B | $5,200 | 24.6% | 4.2% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 9.2 | 14.2 | 22.8 |
| Official | Liam Hicks Tampa Bay Rays📊 | C | $7,800 | 10.5% | 1.4% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.2 | 5.3 | 9.1 | 14.1 | 22.6 |
| Official | Chandler Simpson Tampa Bay Rays📊 | OF | $6,200 | 12.7% | 1.7% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 8.9 | 13.9 | 22.2 |
| Official | Patrick Bailey Cleveland Guardians📊 | C | $3,800 | 24.9% | 3.5% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 8.2 | 12.7 | 20.3 |
| Official | Petey Halpin Cleveland Guardians📊 | OF | $3,600 | — | — | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 7.3 | 11.4 | 18.4 |
| Official | Taylor Walls Tampa Bay Rays📊 | SS | $4,400 | 16.8% | 2.5% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 7.3 | 11.3 | 18.3 |
| Official | Steven Kwan Cleveland Guardians📊 | OF | $6,600 | 7.0% | 0.7% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 7.1 | 11.0 | 18.0 |
| Official | Brayan Rocchio Cleveland Guardians📊 | SS | $5,800 | 11.4% | 1.1% | TB @ CLE | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 6.8 | 10.6 | 17.6 |