Projected lineups
Cleveland GuardiansAway
5.8
proj 5.8
44%
Baltimore OriolesHome
6.4
proj 6.4
56%
12.2Total35%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
DAILY SLATE · TUESDAY
September 8, 2026
Pregame probabilities, simulation distributions, personnel context, and portfolio-approved wagers.
15Games (projected)
2,500Sims / game
0Qualified bets
0.00uKelly exposure
PORTFOLIO TRACK RECORD
Performance Lookback
Yesterday
Aug 31
+5.15u
Win Rate62.5% (40-24)
ROI+8.0%
Beat CLV9.4%
Wagers64
Past 7 Days
Aug 25 – Aug 31
-5.18u
Win Rate55.7% (88-70)
ROI-3.3%
Beat CLV12.0%
Wagers158
Past 30 Days
Aug 02 – Aug 31
+84.67u
Win Rate61.5% (956-598)
ROI+5.4%
Beat CLV11.6%
Wagers1,554
Season to Date
Jun 01 – Aug 31
+82.34u
Win Rate58.7% (2787-1959)
ROI+1.7%
Beat CLV12.5%
Wagers4,746
🤖 AI Simulation Intelligence
Executive Calibration Briefing
Model Integrity: 88.0%
The 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo engine has simulated today's 15-game slate with a calibration integrity score of 88.0%. Contact mechanics and Statcast zone allocations are closely tracking historical baselines. Recommended wagers reflect fitted dynamic subset policies with strict positive expected value hurdles.
Calibration Strengths
- ✓Swing Rate calibrated within 1.1% of historical baseline
- ✓Whiff Per Swing calibrated within 1.4% of historical baseline
- ✓Foul Per Pitch calibrated within 0.5% of historical baseline
Audit Watch Areas
- !Foul Per Contact running 3.4% below historical benchmark (49.9% vs 53.3%)
- !Batted Ball Event Rate running 9.1% above historical benchmark (68.9% vs 59.8%)
September 07 Standout Calls
- ★Underdog value identification: Flagged Baltimore ML (+145) with 52.4% simulated probability.
- ★Total runs convergence: Projected 8.4 runs across slate with 4.2 runs/team mean forecast.
- ★Strikeout accuracy: 87% of starting pitcher projections landed within 1.5 strikeouts of actuals.
MATCHUPS
Today's games
Projected lineups
Houston AstrosAway
5.7
proj 5.7
49%
Philadelphia PhilliesHome
5.5
proj 5.5
51%
11.2Total38%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
New York MetsAway
5.4
proj 5.4
56%
Miami MarlinsHome
4.6
proj 4.6
44%
10.0Total41%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
Minnesota TwinsAway
4.7
proj 4.7
49%
Detroit TigersHome
4.6
proj 4.6
51%
9.3Total46%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
Los Angeles AngelsAway
4.5
proj 4.5
45%
Boston Red SoxHome
4.8
proj 4.8
55%
9.3Total43%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
Colorado RockiesAway
4.2
proj 4.2
43%
New York YankeesHome
4.8
proj 4.8
57%
9.0Total43%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
Tampa Bay RaysAway
5.3
proj 5.3
49%
Atlanta BravesHome
5.3
proj 5.3
51%
10.6Total42%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
Chicago CubsAway
4.5
proj 4.5
41%
Milwaukee BrewersHome
5.2
proj 5.2
59%
9.7Total41%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
Arizona DiamondbacksAway
6.4
proj 6.4
47%
Kansas City RoyalsHome
6.5
proj 6.5
53%
12.9Total31%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
Pittsburgh PiratesAway
4.7
proj 4.7
47%
Chicago White SoxHome
4.8
proj 4.8
53%
9.4Total42%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
Texas RangersAway
4.5
proj 4.5
56%
Seattle MarinersHome
3.8
proj 3.8
44%
8.3Total46%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
Washington NationalsAway
5.5
proj 5.5
59%
San Diego PadresHome
4.2
proj 4.2
41%
9.7Total40%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
Toronto Blue JaysAway
5.5
proj 5.5
48%
AthleticsHome
5.6
proj 5.6
52%
11.1Total37%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
St. Louis CardinalsAway
5.1
proj 5.1
54%
San Francisco GiantsHome
4.5
proj 4.5
46%
9.6Total49%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
Projected lineups
Cincinnati RedsAway
4.5
proj 4.5
45%
Los Angeles DodgersHome
4.8
proj 4.8
55%
9.2Total45%NRFI0Bets
View simulation
PORTFOLIO
Recommended wagers
No qualified wagersNo current price clears the portfolio selection and sizing gates.