NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE

NFL Analytics & Fantasy Hub

Home of the PBPLA Fantasy Football League and the upcoming NFL Monte Carlo simulation engine modeling drive-by-drive efficiency, play selection, and player prop distributions.

MODEL PIPELINE

NFL Monte Carlo Engine (Under Staging)

Staging Pipeline
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Drive-Level State Machine

EPA-calibrated drive simulator modeling down-and-distance transitions, field position value, red-zone conversion rates, and turnover variance across 10,000 iterations.

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Passing, Rushing & TD Distributions

Full Monte Carlo player probability trees for passing yards, rushing attempts, target share, reception totals, and anytime touchdown probabilities.

Live Play-by-Play Win Probability

Sub-second in-game win expectancy and live spread updating with every snap and turnover, integrated with live bet tracking.

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Vegas Line & Prop Arbitrage

Continuous line feeds comparing model distributions against DraftKings, FanDuel, and sharp books to recommend fractional Kelly wagers.