National Hockey League Simulation Model
Micro-event shot danger modeling, expected goals (xG) differentials, and live goaltender fatigue tracking.
ENGINE ARCHITECTURE
Planned Monte Carlo Capabilities
Micro-State Simulations
Granular event simulations capturing pacing, tactical play-calling schemes, individual player matchups, and conditional possession dynamics across 10,000 runs per contest.
Sharp Market & Prop Edge Valuation
Real-time line aggregation comparing fair simulated distributions against bookmaker consensus to isolate positive expected value (+EV) moneylines, spreads, totals, and player props.
Live In-Game Re-Simulation
Autonomous live score bugs and re-simulations after key game events, updating win probability trajectories, outcome distribution pills, and live betting hedge values.
Brier Score Calibration & Audit Tracking
Transparent public calibration suites with probability reliability curves, EV ROI performance lookbacks, and automated model health metrics.