MLB SUMMARY · THURSDAY
October 1, 2026
Daily simulation snapshot, portfolio performance lookback, and executive calibration intelligence.
1Games
10,000Sims / game
0Qualified bets
0.00uKelly exposure
PORTFOLIO TRACK RECORD
Performance Lookback
Yesterday
Sep 30
+0.00u
Win Rate0.0% (0-0)
ROI0.0%
Beat CLV0.0%
Wagers0
Past 7 Days
Sep 24 – Sep 30
+0.00u
Win Rate0.0% (0-0)
ROI0.0%
Beat CLV0.0%
Wagers0
Past 30 Days
Sep 01 – Sep 30
+0.00u
Win Rate0.0% (0-0)
ROI0.0%
Beat CLV0.0%
Wagers0
Season to Date
Jun 01 – Sep 30
+80.06u
Win Rate58.7% (2778-1958)
ROI+1.7%
Beat CLV12.5%
Wagers4,736
🤖 AI Simulation Intelligence
Executive Calibration Briefing
Model Integrity: 88.0%
The 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo engine has simulated today's 1-game slate with a calibration integrity score of 88.0%. Contact mechanics and Statcast zone allocations are closely tracking historical baselines. Recommended wagers reflect fitted dynamic subset policies with strict positive expected value hurdles.
Calibration Strengths
- ✓Swing Rate calibrated within 0.3% of historical baseline
- ✓Foul Per Pitch calibrated within 0.9% of historical baseline
- ✓Foul Per Contact calibrated within 0.2% of historical baseline
Audit Watch Areas
- !Whiff Per Swing running 4.4% below historical benchmark (19.7% vs 24.1%)
- !Called Strike Per Take running 3.4% above historical benchmark (33.6% vs 30.2%)
September 30 Standout Calls
- ★Underdog value identification: Flagged Baltimore ML (+145) with 52.4% simulated probability.
- ★Total runs convergence: Projected 8.4 runs across slate with 4.2 runs/team mean forecast.
- ★Strikeout accuracy: 87% of starting pitcher projections landed within 1.5 strikeouts of actuals.