Official lineups
Cleveland GuardiansAway
4.3
proj 4.3
54%
Tampa Bay RaysHome
3.7
proj 3.7
46%
8.0Total50%NRFI1Bets
View simulation
DAILY SUMMARY · TUESDAY
October 13, 2026
Today's simulated matchups, live scoreboards, Monte Carlo distributions, and portfolio-approved wagers.
1Games
10,000Sims / game
1Qualified bets
2.50uKelly exposure
MATCHUPS
Today's games
PORTFOLIO
Recommended wagers
| Game | Market | Selection | Fair | Model | Edge | EV | Stake | Added | Live | Sportsbook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | Moneyline | Cleveland Guardians · +117 | 44.8% | 53.6% | +8.8% | +16.3% | 2.50u | 7:59 PM | — | Bet at draftkings ↗ |
MONTE CARLO DFS · DRAFTKINGS MLB
DraftKings Simulated Fantasy Points
20Players Projected
20Official Lineups
Parker Messick (16.8)Top 50th %ile (Median)
José Ramírez (34.3)Highest Sim Ceiling (MAX)
Parker Messick ($8,500)Top Salary (4 Slates)
Parker Messick (37.2%)Top Sim Optimal %
Showing 20 of 20 players
💡 Select a slate above to filter players and show contest salaries · Click any player row to view points histogram
Optimal Showdown Lineups (Monte Carlo Global Optimum)
Exact integer-optimal DFS lineups computed across all 10,000 game simulation paths
👑 [Featured] Showdown(CLE @ TB)
·
9,267 distinct winning lineups across 10,000 simulations
Showing Top 12 Winning Lineups
#1 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
CLE 3 · Cleveland Guardians 2 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
9 / 10,000 sims (0.09%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Nick Fortes
C · Tampa Bay Rays
$3,600
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · Cleveland Guardians
$12,400
UTIL
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Travis Bazzana
2B · Cleveland Guardians
$7,000
UTIL
Tyler Wells
SP · CLE
$10,400
#2 Optimal Lineup
$49,800 / $50k
·
CLE 3 · Cleveland Guardians 3
7 / 10,000 sims (0.07%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Austin Hedges
C · Cleveland Guardians
$3,400
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · Cleveland Guardians
$12,400
UTIL
Tanner Bibee
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Travis Bazzana
2B · Cleveland Guardians
$7,000
UTIL
Tyler Wells
SP · CLE
$10,400
#3 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
CLE 3 · Tampa Bay Rays 2 · Cleveland Guardians 1
5 / 10,000 sims (0.05%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Foster Griffin
SP · CLE
$11,400
UTIL
Freddy Peralta
SP · Tampa Bay Rays
$11,000
UTIL
Ryan Vilade
1B/OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$4,200
UTIL
Travis Bazzana
2B · Cleveland Guardians
$7,000
UTIL
Tyler Wells
SP · CLE
$10,400
#4 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
Cleveland Guardians 3 · CLE 2 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
4 / 10,000 sims (0.04%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Foster Griffin
SP · CLE
$11,400
UTIL
Jose Ramirez
3B · Cleveland Guardians
$9,000
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · Cleveland Guardians
$12,400
UTIL
Ryan Vilade
1B/OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$4,200
UTIL
Travis Bazzana
2B · Cleveland Guardians
$7,000
#5 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
Cleveland Guardians 3 · Tampa Bay Rays 2 · CLE 1
4 / 10,000 sims (0.04%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Ben Williamson
2B/SS · Tampa Bay Rays
$4,600
UTIL
Freddy Peralta
SP · Tampa Bay Rays
$11,000
UTIL
Jose Ramirez
3B · Cleveland Guardians
$9,000
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · Cleveland Guardians
$12,400
UTIL
Travis Bazzana
2B · Cleveland Guardians
$7,000
#6 Optimal Lineup
$49,100 / $50k
·
Tampa Bay Rays 3 · CLE 2 · Cleveland Guardians 1
4 / 10,000 sims (0.04%)
CPT 1.5×
Ryan Vilade
1B/OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$6,300
UTIL
Freddy Peralta
SP · Tampa Bay Rays
$11,000
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · Cleveland Guardians
$12,400
UTIL
Richie Palacios
2B · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,000
UTIL
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$4,000
UTIL
Tyler Wells
SP · CLE
$10,400
#7 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
CLE 4 · Cleveland Guardians 1 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
4 / 10,000 sims (0.04%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Foster Griffin
SP · CLE
$11,400
UTIL
Jo Adell
OF · Cleveland Guardians
$8,000
UTIL
Nick Fortes
C · Tampa Bay Rays
$3,600
UTIL
Tanner Bibee
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Tyler Wells
SP · CLE
$10,400
#8 Optimal Lineup
$49,800 / $50k
·
CLE 4 · Tampa Bay Rays 1 · Cleveland Guardians 1
4 / 10,000 sims (0.04%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Chandler Simpson
OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,200
UTIL
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Tanner Bibee
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Travis Bazzana
2B · Cleveland Guardians
$7,000
UTIL
Tyler Wells
SP · CLE
$10,400
#9 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
Cleveland Guardians 3 · CLE 2 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
4 / 10,000 sims (0.04%)
CPT 1.5×
Parker Messick
SP · Cleveland Guardians
$18,600
UTIL
Austin Hedges
C · Cleveland Guardians
$3,400
UTIL
Junior Caminero
3B · Tampa Bay Rays
$9,600
UTIL
Patrick Bailey
C · Cleveland Guardians
$3,800
UTIL
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$4,000
UTIL
Tanner Bibee
SP · CLE
$10,600
#10 Optimal Lineup
$50,000 / $50k
·
CLE 4 · Tampa Bay Rays 1 · Cleveland Guardians 1
4 / 10,000 sims (0.04%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Ben Williamson
2B/SS · Tampa Bay Rays
$4,600
UTIL
Foster Griffin
SP · CLE
$11,400
UTIL
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Travis Bazzana
2B · Cleveland Guardians
$7,000
UTIL
Tyler Wells
SP · CLE
$10,400
#11 Optimal Lineup
$48,400 / $50k
·
CLE 3 · Tampa Bay Rays 2 · Cleveland Guardians 1
4 / 10,000 sims (0.04%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Ben Williamson
2B/SS · Tampa Bay Rays
$4,600
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · Cleveland Guardians
$12,400
UTIL
Ryan Vilade
1B/OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$4,200
UTIL
Slade Cecconi
SP · CLE
$10,600
UTIL
Tanner Bibee
SP · CLE
$10,600
#12 Optimal Lineup
$49,400 / $50k
·
Tampa Bay Rays 3 · CLE 2 · Cleveland Guardians 1
4 / 10,000 sims (0.04%)
CPT 1.5×
Steven Matz
SP · CLE
$6,000
UTIL
Chandler Simpson
OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$5,200
UTIL
Freddy Peralta
SP · Tampa Bay Rays
$11,000
UTIL
Parker Messick
SP · Cleveland Guardians
$12,400
UTIL
Ryan Vilade
1B/OF · Tampa Bay Rays
$4,200
UTIL
Tanner Bibee
SP · CLE
$10,600
| Status | Player | Pos | Salary | Opt % | CPT % | Game | 10th | 25th | 50th ▼ | 75th | 90th | MAX |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official | Parker Messick Cleveland Guardians📊 | SP | $8,500 | 37.2% | 7.9% | CLE @ TB | 8.3 | 12.3 | 16.8 | 21.8 | 26.3 | 33.8 |
| Official | Freddy Peralta Tampa Bay Rays📊 | SP | $7,000 | 26.5% | 4.9% | CLE @ TB | 3.5 | 7.5 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 21.5 | 29.0 |
| Official | José Ramírez Cleveland Guardians📊 | 3B | — | — | — | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 3.3 | 8.1 | 13.8 | 21.4 | 34.3 |
| Official | Chase DeLauter Cleveland Guardians📊 | DH | $3,700 | 23.7% | 3.9% | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 3.1 | 7.6 | 13.0 | 20.1 | 32.2 |
| Official | Junior Caminero Tampa Bay Rays📊 | 3B | $5,700 | 16.3% | 2.5% | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.3 | 12.5 | 19.4 | 31.1 |
| Official | Jo Adell Cleveland Guardians📊 | OF | $4,000 | 21.4% | 3.9% | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.3 | 12.4 | 19.2 | 30.7 |
| Official | Yandy Díaz Tampa Bay Rays📊 | DH | — | — | — | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 2.8 | 6.7 | 11.5 | 17.8 | 28.5 |
| Official | Travis Bazzana Cleveland Guardians📊 | 2B | $3,600 | 21.5% | 3.6% | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 2.6 | 6.4 | 10.9 | 16.9 | 27.1 |
| Official | Nathaniel Lowe Cleveland Guardians📊 | 1B | $3,000 | — | — | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 2.6 | 6.3 | 10.8 | 16.7 | 26.7 |
| Official | Jonny DeLuca Tampa Bay Rays📊 | OF | $3,200 | — | — | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 2.4 | 5.9 | 10.0 | 15.6 | 24.9 |
| Official | Victor Mesa Jr. Tampa Bay Rays📊 | OF | $3,400 | — | — | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 2.4 | 5.9 | 10.0 | 15.5 | 24.8 |
| Official | Steven Kwan Cleveland Guardians📊 | OF | $3,300 | 13.2% | 2.0% | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 2.4 | 5.7 | 9.7 | 15.1 | 24.2 |
| Official | Jonathan Aranda Tampa Bay Rays📊 | 1B | $3,900 | 11.7% | 1.3% | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 8.9 | 13.9 | 22.2 |
| Official | Petey Halpin Cleveland Guardians📊 | OF | $2,400 | — | — | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 8.8 | 13.7 | 21.9 |
| Official | Ben Williamson Tampa Bay Rays📊 | 2B | $2,600 | 17.0% | 2.3% | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 7.9 | 12.3 | 19.7 |
| Official | Brayan Rocchio Cleveland Guardians📊 | SS | $3,100 | 12.8% | 1.5% | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 7.5 | 11.7 | 18.7 |
| Official | Chandler Simpson Tampa Bay Rays📊 | OF | $2,900 | 11.1% | 1.6% | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 7.5 | 11.6 | 18.6 |
| Official | Liam Hicks Tampa Bay Rays📊 | C | $3,500 | — | — | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 7.5 | 11.6 | 18.6 |
| Official | Austin Hedges Cleveland Guardians📊 | C | $2,100 | 17.5% | 2.1% | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 7.3 | 11.3 | 18.3 |
| Official | Taylor Walls Tampa Bay Rays📊 | SS | $2,700 | 9.8% | 1.3% | CLE @ TB | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 6.1 | 9.5 | 16.5 |