Playoff Favorite
97.6%
Giant Commanders
Proj: 9.2 - 4.8 (128.3 PF/wk)
1st-Round Bye Leader
65.7%
Giant Commanders
Top 2 Seed Odds • PP500
Championship Favorite
20.6%
Giant Commanders
Title Probability • PP500
Booty Bowl Danger (12th)
30.6%
the mojo dojo casa house
12th Place Danger • jbabysports

Simulated Standings & Playoff Probability Board Pre-Simulated (1,000 Runs)

Head-to-head matchup win probabilities precomputed via Pythagorean Expectation (Exponent: 2.83) using weekly starter optimization & NFL bye replacements.
Pre-Simulated Offline
Proj Seed Team & Manager Actual Record Sim Record Projected PF Playoff % 1st-Round Bye % Champion % Booty % (12th) Avg Seed Matchups
#1
1st Rd Bye (Top 2)
Giant Commanders
PP500
 6-2
9.2 - 4.8
9.2W - 4.8L
128.3 pts/wk
1,797 total
97.6%
65.7% 20.6% 0.3% Avg: 2.3
#2
1st Rd Bye (Top 2)
SMBDY TACKLE JOSH ALLEN
ChristineMorgan36
 5-3
8.4 - 5.6
8.4W - 5.6L
130.8 pts/wk
1,831 total
90.1%
47.2% 20.2% 0.2% Avg: 3.2
#3
Playoff Qualifier
NY Jet2 holiday
juliasmall
 5-3
8.4 - 5.6
8.4W - 5.6L
125.4 pts/wk
1,756 total
86.6%
32.7% 14.8% 1.5% Avg: 3.9
#4
Playoff Qualifier
Double Dookie Dawgs
Deepak421
 5-3
8.0 - 6.0
8.0W - 6.0L
126.4 pts/wk
1,770 total
79.2%
22.2% 13.4% 1.6% Avg: 4.5
#5
Playoff Qualifier
Desi Cowboys
bigbean17
 4-4
7.1 - 6.9
7.1W - 6.9L
127.3 pts/wk
1,782 total
53.9%
8.7% 10.6% 2.9% Avg: 6.1
#6
Playoff Qualifier
Madden '03 Money Glitch
jbrown26v
 5-3
7.6 - 6.4
7.6W - 6.4L
112.1 pts/wk
1,570 total
46.5%
8.2% 4.2% 7.7% Avg: 6.5
#7
Booty Bowl (R1)
Williamsburg Winners
nattybk
 4-4
7.1 - 6.9
7.1W - 6.9L
121.6 pts/wk
1,703 total
44.2%
4.8% 6.0% 3.7% Avg: 6.7
#8
Booty Bowl (R1)
Kyle's Stache: 1st Pick 🤤
crlarkin
 4-4
7.1 - 6.9
7.1W - 6.9L
116.7 pts/wk
1,634 total
38.9%
4.1% 3.8% 7.5% Avg: 7.1
#9
Booty Bowl (R1)
Despicable Maye
dbzmaniac
 4-4
7.0 - 7.0
7.0W - 7.0L
117.0 pts/wk
1,639 total
35.8%
4.2% 2.8% 7.7% Avg: 7.2
#10
Booty Bowl (R1)
DisabledArmyVet
DisabledArmyVet
 3-5
6.2 - 7.8
6.2W - 7.8L
125.2 pts/wk
1,753 total
26.3%
2.2% 3.6% 7.0% Avg: 8.0
#11
Booty Bowl (R2 Bye)
waluigi’s hospital ward
ericacosta9
 2-6
4.6 - 9.4
4.6W - 9.4L
97.7 pts/wk
1,368 total
0.9%
0.0% 0.0% 29.3% Avg: 10.9
#12
Booty Bowl (R2 Bye)
the mojo dojo casa house
jbabysports
 1-7
3.2 - 10.8
3.2W - 10.8L
100.3 pts/wk
1,404 total
0.0%
0.0% 0.0% 30.6% Avg: 11.7
Playoffs Championship Tournament (Seeds 1–6)
Weeks 15–17
• First-Round Byes (Week 15): Seeds #1 and #2 earn automatic passage into the Week 16 Semifinals.
• Quarterfinals (Week 15): Seed #3 faces Seed #6; Seed #4 faces Seed #5 in single-elimination battles.
• Semifinals (Week 16): Seed #1 battles the lower remaining seed; Seed #2 battles the other quarterfinal victor.
• Championship Finale (Week 17): The two surviving semifinal powerhouses duel for the PBPLA League Crown.
Booty Bowl The Booty Bowl (Seeds 7–12, Loser Advances!)
Weeks 15–17
• Toilet Byes (Week 15): The bottom two seeds (#11 & #12) receive byes in Round 1 and wait in the danger zone for Round 2.
• Round 1 (Week 15): Seed #7 vs Seed #10, Seed #8 vs Seed #9. Winners are safe, while losers advance to Round 2.
• Semifinals (Week 16): Round 1 losers face Seeds #11 and #12. Winners escape to safety; losers advance to the Booty Finale.
• The Booty Bowl Finale (Week 17): The final two losers square off. The LOSER takes 12th place and is crowned the official Booty Bowl Loser.

Weekly Power Rankings & Editorial Commentary

Week 9 Active • Movement vs Wk 8
Evaluated using 55% Starter VORP/wk, 25% Starter Pts/wk, and 20% Bench Depth + Season Simulation (+Playoff% × 10, +Bye% × 20), scaled to 100 for the #1 team.

Franchise Power Trajectory (Weeks 1–9)

Wednesday Lock Tracking
Hover over any line or dot to inspect weekly ranks. Click any franchise pill below to isolate their path.

Power Rankings Detailed Matrix

Composite score weighs 55% Starter VORP, 25% Starter Pts, 20% Bench Depth + Season Simulation (+Playoff% × 10, +Bye% × 20), scaled to 100 max
Rank Team Manager Tier Power Score Starter Pts/Wk Starter VORP/Wk Bench VORP/Wk Best Position Weakest Position Key Player Weekly Outlook
Showing All Players
Player Pos NFL Fantasy Team Role Sleeper ESPN Draft Sharks FantasyPros Consensus Pts Season VORP Wk 9 VORP FantasyPros ECR

Positional VORP Share by Team

Total VORP generated per position across each starting roster
Team QB VORP RB VORP WR VORP TE VORP FLEX VORP K VORP DEF VORP Total Starter VORP

Highest Analyst Disagreements (Volatility Index)

Players with the largest spread between maximum and minimum projection source
Player Pos Team Consensus Sleeper ESPN Draft Sharks FantasyPros Spread (Max - Min) Analyst Divergence Analysis

Suggested Roster Moves & Trade Finder

Personalized algorithmic recommendations for every team in the league. Suggests mutual-gain trades where both teams add starting points across the 14-week regular season with balanced VORP parity, and high-impact waiver wire targets that upgrade starting lineups and depth.

Trade VORP: |Δ| ≤ 25.0 Mutual Gain: ≥ 3.5 pts
Shop to Sell Shop to Buy Auto-Balance Pick Swaps
1-for-1 Pick Swaps Snake Order Inverted Anchored to Player VORP

2027 Draft Pick Capital & Valuation Model Dynamic VORP Engine (361 Players)

Draft pick values are 100% dynamic, mapped 1-to-1 to the consensus season VORP curve across all 361 players sorted descending (Pick #1 = Jahmyr Gibbs +195.8 VORP down through Pick #180). Team round capital reflects the Monte Carlo probability-weighted expected value across 12 reverse-standings draft slots with snake draft inversion.

1. VORP-Anchored Curve
Picks reflect player value: Round 1 spans 195.8 → 96.5 pts; Round 2 spans 88.6 → 65.4 pts; Round 3 spans 65.1 → 52.8 pts.
2. Reverse Standings Odds
Draft slot probability equals finishing seed probability: 12th place finish = Slot 1 (highest odds for #1 overall pick).
3. Snake Order Inversion
Even rounds (2, 4, 6, 8) invert order: Slot 12 picks first in Round 2 (Pick 2.01 = 88.6 pts vs Slot 1 Pick 2.12 = 65.4 pts).
4. Equal Pick Swaps
Trades package 1-for-1 pick swaps (e.g. R4 ⇔ R5), ensuring neither team loses picks while closing the value gap down to near 0.
Team Exp Draft Slot Sim Finish (Avg Seed) R1 Value R2 Value R3 Value R4 Value R5 Value R6 Value Total Capital (R1–6) Top Slot Odds (Reverse Standings)
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