5:38 PM ET · Official lineups
Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels is the simulated favorite at 53.0%.
Washington Nationals4.3proj 4.3
PROJ
Los Angeles Angels4.6proj 4.6
47.0%Washington Nationals win
53.0%Los Angeles Angels win
8.90Mean total
51.0%NRFI
10,000Simulations
DISTRIBUTION
Total runs
DISTRIBUTION
Home run margin
PERSONNEL CONTEXT
Bullpen Availability & Workload
Washington NationalsBullpen Availability
Optimal · Fresh
85%
Arms available for high leverage
Los Angeles AngelsBullpen Availability
Optimal · Fresh
85%
Arms available for high leverage
PROJECTION
Mean box score
| Team | R | H | HR | BB | SP K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals | 4.30 | 7.40 | 1.20 | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 4.60 | 7.90 | 1.10 | 3.20 | 5.80 |
Washington Nationals Batting
| # | Player | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | K | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Nationals Batter 1 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 2 | Washington Nationals Batter 2 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 3 | Washington Nationals Batter 3 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 4 | Washington Nationals Batter 4 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 5 | Washington Nationals Batter 5 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 6 | Washington Nationals Batter 6 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 7 | Washington Nationals Batter 7 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 8 | Washington Nationals Batter 8 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 9 | Washington Nationals Batter 9 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
Los Angeles Angels Batting
| # | Player | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | K | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Angels Batter 1 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Angels Batter 2 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Angels Batter 3 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Angels Batter 4 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Angels Batter 5 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 6 | Los Angeles Angels Batter 6 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 7 | Los Angeles Angels Batter 7 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Angels Batter 8 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Angels Batter 9 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
Starting Pitchers
| Starter | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacKenzie Gore 📊 | Washington Nationals | 6.0 | 5.20 | 2.20 | 2.10 | 1.50 | 6.80 | 94.0 |
| Tyler Anderson 📊 | Los Angeles Angels | 5.2 | 5.50 | 2.80 | 2.60 | 1.80 | 5.90 | 91.0 |
CONDITIONS & ENVIRONMENT
Pregame inputs
Weather & Park
- Temperature
- —
- Humidity
- —
- Wind
- —
- Wind to CF
- —
- Carry multiplier
- —
- Park run factor
- —
Team Context
Washington Nationals
SP: MacKenzie Gore (0 pitches projected) · Bullpen health: 0% · Travel: 0 mi
Los Angeles Angels
SP: Tyler Anderson (0 pitches projected) · Bullpen health: 0% · Travel: 0 mi
PORTFOLIO
Qualified wagers
No qualified wagersNo current price clears the portfolio selection and sizing gates.
SIMULATION TRAJECTORY ENGINE
Monte Carlo Similarity Score
94.8%
Path Alignment
Current game pace, run distributions, and lineup handedness match the 95th percentile of simulated iterations.
Dominant Simulation Clusters
SIMULATION OPERATIONS
Usage summary
- Mean pitches
- 294.00