3:40 PM ET · Official lineups
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers is the simulated favorite at 66.0%.
Milwaukee Brewers5.2proj 5.2
PROJ
Chicago White Sox3.2proj 3.2
66.0%Milwaukee Brewers win
34.0%Chicago White Sox win
8.40Mean total
51.0%NRFI
10,000Simulations
DISTRIBUTION
Total runs
DISTRIBUTION
Home run margin
PERSONNEL CONTEXT
Bullpen Availability & Workload
Milwaukee BrewersBullpen Availability
Optimal · Fresh
85%
Arms available for high leverage
Chicago White SoxBullpen Availability
Optimal · Fresh
85%
Arms available for high leverage
PROJECTION
Mean box score
| Team | R | H | HR | BB | SP K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers | 5.20 | 8.80 | 1.20 | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| Chicago White Sox | 3.20 | 5.60 | 1.10 | 3.20 | 5.80 |
Milwaukee Brewers Batting
| # | Player | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | K | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milwaukee Brewers Batter 1 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 2 | Milwaukee Brewers Batter 2 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 3 | Milwaukee Brewers Batter 3 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 4 | Milwaukee Brewers Batter 4 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 5 | Milwaukee Brewers Batter 5 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 6 | Milwaukee Brewers Batter 6 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 7 | Milwaukee Brewers Batter 7 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 8 | Milwaukee Brewers Batter 8 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 9 | Milwaukee Brewers Batter 9 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
Chicago White Sox Batting
| # | Player | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | K | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago White Sox Batter 1 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 2 | Chicago White Sox Batter 2 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 3 | Chicago White Sox Batter 3 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 4 | Chicago White Sox Batter 4 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 5 | Chicago White Sox Batter 5 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 6 | Chicago White Sox Batter 6 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 7 | Chicago White Sox Batter 7 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 8 | Chicago White Sox Batter 8 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
| 9 | Chicago White Sox Batter 9 📊 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | .260 | .320 | .400 |
Starting Pitchers
| Starter | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta 📊 | Milwaukee Brewers | 6.0 | 5.20 | 2.20 | 2.10 | 1.50 | 6.80 | 94.0 |
| Garrett Crochet 📊 | Chicago White Sox | 5.2 | 5.50 | 2.80 | 2.60 | 1.80 | 5.90 | 91.0 |
CONDITIONS & ENVIRONMENT
Pregame inputs
Weather & Park
- Temperature
- —
- Humidity
- —
- Wind
- —
- Wind to CF
- —
- Carry multiplier
- —
- Park run factor
- —
Team Context
Milwaukee Brewers
SP: Freddy Peralta (0 pitches projected) · Bullpen health: 0% · Travel: 0 mi
Chicago White Sox
SP: Garrett Crochet (0 pitches projected) · Bullpen health: 0% · Travel: 0 mi
PORTFOLIO
Qualified wagers
| Market | Selection | Fair | Model | Edge | EV | Stake | Added | Live | Sportsbook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers · -115 | 66.0% | 66.0% | +16.0% | +23.4% | 1.50u | 11:20 AMNEW | — | Bet at DraftKings ↗ |
SIMULATION TRAJECTORY ENGINE
Monte Carlo Similarity Score
94.8%
Path Alignment
Current game pace, run distributions, and lineup handedness match the 95th percentile of simulated iterations.
Dominant Simulation Clusters
SIMULATION OPERATIONS
Usage summary
- Mean pitches
- 294.00